Featured Studies
A collection of my work spanning from personal experiments to educational endeavors.
NBA Game Prediction Model
6-model ensemble (LR, RF, GBM, XGBoost, LightGBM, MLP) trained on 30 seasons of NBA data. Compares predictions against Kalshi prediction markets and flags edge bets nightly.
Small-Business LBO Model
Interactive, pre-NDA, LBO model for small businesses: SBA + seller note + optional mezz & revolver, full sources/uses, debt schedule, FCFE, and exit analysis.
Probabilistic NFL Model with Market Integration
Elo + logistic regression win probabilities, Polymarket comparison, Kelly allocator.
Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model
Developed an interactive financial modeling application in R, enabling users to calculate Black-Scholes option prices based on user-defined parameters dynamically.
Double-Moving Average Investment Strategy Backtester
WebApp in R that optimizes returns for any given stock by trading a double moving average strategy. The WebApp optimizes SMA and LMA lengths to maximize returns and minimize downside risk.